Wall Street’s quiet corner is making noise again. While the bond market is typically seen as slower moving, it can pack a heavy punch when it’s alarmed. And right now, it’s getting worried about how much more Washington is preparing to pile onto its spiraling mountain of debt because of its desire to cut taxes.

Wall Street analysts have downwardly revised their earnings estimates since President Trump took office because tariffs are expected to be a headwind to economic growth. The consensus estimate in January said S&P 500 companies would report 14% earnings growth in 2025, but analysts now expect 8.5% earnings growth, according to LSEG.

Wall Street experts share what they think will drive stock market gains for the second half of the year.